We are cursed to live in these fascinating times.
When I settled down to sleep last week in Bairro Alto area of Lisbon the experts all said the 45th President of the United States of America would be Hillary Rodham Clinton.
Had I been in the USA and equipped with a vote I would have voted for her through gritted teeth.
When I awoke to a Portuguese morning, it was President Elect Trump.
It was a Brexit style wake up call.
I was shocked, but I shouldn’t have been.
That’s because I had a brilliant barrack room psephologist at my kitchen table calling it for two months.
My son had stated quite confidently that Trump would get the election.
Of course, I listened to my first born, but I didn’t believe him.
During that time the Big Fella advanced why a Trump Presidency might not be as globally catastrophic as a Clinton one.
Firstly, he stated to me that the reality TV star was lazy.
The Big Fella’s hope was that after the ego boost of actually winning the thing he would soon tire of the grueling schedule.
When that kicked in President Trump would leave the day to day stuff to the professionals behind the scenes.
His reasoning that they were, in the main, decent, sane people.
For my Big Fella, the putative laziness of Donald Trump was his biggest selling point over his opponent.
Quite simply Trump wouldn’t do lots of things and therefore lots of bad stuff just would not happen.
One thing that cannot be said of Secretary Clinton is that she lacks a work ethic.
She’s also a corporate shill and an appalling war hawk.
During the Iraq War in 2003 Fox News lovingly dubbed her “artillery Hillary.”
My Big Fella’s take was that Clinton would almost certainly have escalated several counter-insurgency efforts in Africa into full-scale US interventions.
My Oracle on American elections regularly updated me over a Word Class Breakfast of how the tide was turning towards Trump.
Ok, ok it was just Weetabix, but the brainpower on the menu was off the scale.
Yesterday was a belated birthday treat for him.
Appropriately enough in an American-themed diner in Letterkenny, he laid out the voting numbers for me.
We were in town to watch the movie ‘Arrival’ .
It’s film about strange creatures coming to earth.
The hero of the piece is a linguist who can translate what the aliens actually want.
It all seemed horribly appropriate.
What I took away from the table in the star spangled diner was that Trump didn’t win a great electoral victory.
He just got out the Republican base and no more.
On the other hand, the Democrat vote collapsed compared to the Obama numbers in 2008 and 2012.
Almost any other candidate other than Clinton would have probably defeated Trump.
Certainly Bernie Sanders would have energized the Democrat base.
The lazy feminist analysis that Secretary Clinton was defeated by misogyny, but doesn’t fit with the fact that a majority of white women voted for Trump.
That Trump is an appalling misogynist is a given.
However, what the sisterhood can’t look at is that some folks looked beyond genitalia and just couldn’t bring themselves to vote for Mrs Clinton.
Some of them voted for her opponent, but a lot of them just stayed away from the voting booths.
Undoubtedly there was a Famine Song vibe to the Trump campaign.
Yesterday he was being interviewed about the modalities of sealing the border with Mexico.
During the election campaign, Trump often talked about “draining the swamp”.
This was a reference to Washington corruption.
The Fascist leaders in the 1930s were noted for their ambitious public works.
Will the promised wall at the Rio Grande be Trumps’ Pontine marsh?
Will Mexican workers in the USA become the easily identifiable Untermensch for the Trump Administration ?
Or will that honour go to anyone of the Islamic faith?
I read yesterday that the Klan are planning a victory march to celebrate their guy winning.
There was an unmistakable WATP element within Trump’s message.
Now when I read the opening line of the Constitution of the United States it takes on a new meaning:
“We The People…”
Certainly, I can see a lot of what motivates The People in the North East of my own island in Trumps’ core demographic.
Almost all of my questions around this seismic political event are around what motivated this vile bigoted narcissist in the first place.
I was re-watching this clip yesterday.
It is from the White House Correspondents’’ dinner of May 1st, 2011.
President Obama mocked Donald Trump for his ‘birther’ obsession (that Barack Hussein Obama was actually born in Kenya and not the USA) and for his reality TV show day job.
Was this the moment that Trump decided to run for the Presidency?
The mocking video of what the Trump Whitehouse might look like (5.21) now looks horribly prescient.
As President Obama mercilessly ribbed Trump the plan was already in place to take out Osama Bin Laden in his guarded compound in Pakistan.
When it was announced the day after that the raid had been a success it was clear that a select few around the President at that light-hearted social event had been holding a massively important operational secret close to their chests.
Yet not a single journalist there was aware of what was about to happen in Abbottabad.
It was worthy of a Tom Clancy spy thriller.
The relationship between the Trump campaign and elements within Putin’s regime would probably be too far-fetched for a spy thriller on Netflix.
At the moment all I have are questions.
Is he a reality TV star on the ego trip of all time who will crash and burn or an American Mussolini?
Will there be a Brenner Pass moment where Trump bows down to his Alpha Male from Moscow?
Will Commander-in-chief Trump willfully neglect his NATO allies as a rejuvenated Russia starts to nibble at the Baltic States?
In this scenario the guy in the Wite House gives the Russina’s a free hand in Syria and Assad is secured as a Moscow client state.
Putin then will have what he covets:
His very own Israel.
A firebase in the Eastern Mediterranean
This allows him to have a destabilising lever in the Middle East which bumps up the world oil price.
That’s good for Russia.
A low oil price kills Moscow fiscally.
Is any of this in play?
Well, the ‘experts’ in the media confidently predicted that he wouldn’t get the GOP nomination and then asserted that he had no chance of the White House.
These prescient folks in TV studios are now certain that they know the answer to those questions that trouble me.
Well, I’m not.
We’re living through a fascinating period of history, but I could really do with some boring at the moment.
What about you?